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31.05.2023 01:20 PM
EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis for May 31

EUR/USD

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Higher timeframes

Slowing down at the weekly support of 1.0692 has turned into bearish activity. The target benchmarks for the bears in this range are the monthly support (1.0579) and the weekly support (1.0515), as well as the target for breaking the daily cloud (1.0557 - 1.0497). The nearest resistances continue to be the levels of 1.0746 - 1.0770 (daily short-term trend + weekly medium-term trend).

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H4 - H1

Yesterday, the weekly long-term trend once again fulfilled its task. By defending bearish interests, it did not allow the balance of power to shift. As a result, today, the bears set a new low and continued the development of the downward trend. The key bearish reference points within the day can be noted as the support of the classic pivot points (1.0644 - 1.0615). Today, the key levels maintain their role as resistances and converge around 1.0718–26 (central pivot point + weekly long-term trend). Consolidation above and a reversal of the movement can shift the main advantage to the bulls' side. The resistance levels of the classic pivot points (1.0763 - 1.0792 - 1.0837) will serve as targets for the upward movement in this case.

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GBP/USD

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Higher timeframes

Yesterday, the bulls managed to execute a corrective rise to the daily short-term trend (1.2395) and the influence zone of the next level of the daily cross (1.2449). Furthermore, upward reference points can be noted at 1.2476 (weekly short-term trend) and 1.2492 - 1.2536 (final levels of the daily cross). The nearest supports continue to be the weekly (1.2344) and monthly (1.2302) levels.

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H4 - H1

Yesterday's rise allowed the bulls to gain the upper hand on the lower timeframes, but today the pair is again testing the key level—the weekly long-term trend (1.2360). This level is responsible for the distribution of forces. Working above the weekly trend usually strengthens bullish sentiment. The reference points for the bulls within the day can be identified at 1.2459 - 1.2512 - 1.2578 (resistances of the classic pivot points). However, if the pair trades below the weekly trend, a bearish movement is to be expected. The reference points for downward movement within the day are 1.2340 - 1.2274 - 1.2221 (supports of the classic pivot points).

The technical analysis of the situation uses:

Higher timeframes - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibo Kijun levels

Lower timeframes - H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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